What Drives AB Home Prices
Sergey Korostensky
Friday, July 18, 2025
At its core, housing prices are determined by the balance between supply and demand, with all other influences ultimately affecting one side of that equation. Over the long term, economic fundamentals—such as income levels, job growth, and construction activity—are the primary drivers of the market. However, in the short term, buyer and seller sentiment can push prices above levels that are economically sustainable, creating temporary imbalances before the market corrects itself.
Population growth plays a fundamental role in shaping housing markets. When more people move into a specific area, demand for housing naturally increases. This can create competition for a limited supply of homes, putting upward pressure on prices. On average, each household consists of about 2.5 people, meaning that even modest population increases can result in a significant rise in housing demand. Regions experiencing rapid population growth must plan accordingly to expand infrastructure, housing stock, and local services to accommodate new residents.
Home price growth reflects how the value of residential real estate changes over time. This is influenced by a variety of factors, including supply and demand, interest rates, construction activity, and broader economic trends. For potential homebuyers, rising prices can limit affordability and affect long-term financial planning. For homeowners, on the other hand, appreciation in home value can increase personal wealth and equity. Understanding market trends and local housing conditions is essential for making informed decisions about when and where to buy.
Savings and home equity form the foundation of a buyer’s purchasing power. Savings consist of disposable income set aside after taxes and expenses, while equity refers to the portion of a current home’s value that the owner truly owns. Together, they determine how much a buyer can use for a down payment, closing costs, or renovations. Higher savings and equity not only improve a buyer’s position in competitive markets but also reduce the amount of borrowing needed—potentially leading to more favorable mortgage terms.
Financing, meanwhile, is shaped by a combination of income, interest rates, and employment stability. Mortgage lenders assess how much money a buyer can reasonably put toward monthly payments based on their income and current rates. Higher interest rates can significantly raise mortgage costs, while lower rates increase affordability. Employment status is also critical; stable income is a prerequisite for mortgage approval. In areas with high unemployment, access to financing can be limited, slowing homeownership growth even when housing supply is sufficient.